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Estimating your retirement income gap and savings needed to fill it 

 

Tue, 01 Feb 2011

A two-step process for a quick “guesstimate"

Step 1: Estimating how much you will need to live off in retirement at the Sorted Quick Retirement Calculator

Note some assumptions made by this calculator:

  • You will need 70% of your current before tax income (in today’s dollars) in retirement
  • The average annual inflation rate will be 2%
  • Men will need an income for 17 years after retiring at age 65
  • Women will need an income for 20 years after retiring at age 65
  • The calculator produces estimates per person, not per couple
  • For a couple you need to enter half your joint current income and calculate what is needed for each partner according to gender, then sum the results to get the total
  • The calculations were correct as at 7
  • December 2010.  Results change on a daily basis due to the daily accrual of returns etc in the calculations

Of course, your circumstances could end up differently from these assumptions, so please remember the calculator results are “guesstimates” only and seek professional financial advice for personally tailored estimates.

All estimates for the case studies below were calculated on the Sorted website as of December 2010.

Case study 1: A single man

John Smith is single, 40 years old, was born in January 1970, earns $60,000 (before tax) per year, and will draw the single person’s NZ Super rate after age 65.

The calculator shows that John will need to receive an annual after tax income of $34,286 (in today’s dollars) to earn the equivalent of 70% of his before-tax current income of $60,000.  Less the NZ Super single person benefit rate ($17,355 after tax) there is a difference left of $16,931 after tax to fill, which is John’s retirement income gap.  Assuming John will require this income for 17 years after retiring at age 65, he will need to save $293,047 (including 2% annual inflation)by age 65 (the equivalent of $224,256 in today’s dollars).

Link: Sorted Quick Retirement Calculator

Case study 2: A single woman

Jane Smith is single, 40 years old, was born in January 1970, earns $60,000 (before tax) per year, and will draw the single person’s NZ Super rate after age 65.

The calculator shows that Jane will need to receive an annual after tax income of $34,286 (in today’s dollars) to earn the equivalent of 70% of her before tax current income of $60,000.  Less the NZ Super single rate ($17,355 after tax) there is a difference left of $16,931 after tax per year, which is Jane’s retirement income gap.  Assuming Jane will require this income for 20 years after retiring at age 65, she will need to save up $330,704 (including 2% annual inflation) by age 65 (the equivalent of $253,104 in today’s dollars). 

Note that by assuming three additional years more retirement income is needed for Jane than for John, Jane’s savings target is increased by $37,657 (including 2% annual inflation) or $28,848 in today’s dollars.  This assumption made in the calculator is based on statistics showing that women require retirement income for longer than men.

Link: Sorted Quick Retirement Calculator

Case study 3: A couple

John and Jane Smith are married, both 40 years old, were born in January 1970, jointly earn $60,000 (before tax) per year, and will draw the couple’s NZ Super rate after age 65.

Remembering the need to calculate for John and Jane separately per person on the Sorted Quick Retirement Calculator, we enter half their joint income ($60,000 divided by 2 = $30,000) for each calculation and the calculator’s default value of 50% of the NZ Super couples benefit rate:

For John, the calculator shows he will need to receive an annual after tax income of $18,011 (in today’s dollars) to earn the equivalent of 70% of his share of before tax current income of $30,000.  Less his half of the NZ Super couples rate ($13,288 after tax) there is a difference left of $4,723 after tax per year to fill, which is John’s retirement income gap.  Assuming John will need this income for 17 years after retiring at age 65, he will need to save up $78,936 (including 2% annual inflation) by age 65 (the equivalent of $60,260 in today’s dollars).

For Jane, the calculator shows she will need to receive an annual after tax income of $18,011 (in today’s dollars) to earn the equivalent of 70% of her share of before tax current income of $30,000.  Less her half of the NZ Super couples rate ($13,288 after tax) there is a difference left of $4,723 after tax per year to fill, which is Jane’s retirement income gap.  Assuming Jane will need this income for 20 years after retiring at age 65, she will need to save up $88,575 (including 2% annual inflation) by age 65 (the equivalent of $67,619 in today’s dollars).

As a couple, John and Jane have a retirement income gap of $9,446 ($4,723 x 2) after tax per year and will need to save a combined $167,511 ($78,936 + $88,575) (including 2% annual inflation) by age 65 (the equivalent of $127,879 in today’s dollars).

Link: Sorted Quick Retirement Calculator

Step 2: Estimating how much your KiwiSaver nest egg could be worth by age 65 at the Sorted Quick KiwiSaver Calculator

This calculation on the Sorted Quick KiwiSaver Calculator is a lot simpler than for the Quick Retirement Calculator. 

For the Quick KiwiSaver calculation, using our simplified case study examples we can enter the annual income before tax ($60,000) for John or Jane either as single persons saving for themselves or as the breadwinning partner within the couple. 

Some assumptions are used in the calculation:

  • John and Jane are employees and members of a KiwiSaver scheme
  • Frequency of pay is fortnightly
  • The employer KiwiSaver contribution is 2% per annum of gross salary or wages
  • The employee KiwiSaver contribution is 2% per annum of gross salary or wages (the minimum allowable for employer contributions to be received)

    Based on these assumptions, the calculator shows that John or Jane would have saved $223,546 (including 2% annual inflation) over the 25 years from age 40 to age 65 ($136,258 in today’s dollars).

Looking back to the Quick Retirement calculation case studies, we can see that:

Case study 1: A single man

  • John as a single man needs to save $293,047 (including 2% annual inflation) by age 65 (the equivalent of $224,256 in today’s dollars)
  • At a 2% employee KiwiSaver contribution rate, John would have saved $223,546 (including 2% annual inflation) over the 25 years from age 40 to age 65 ($136,258 in today’s dollars)
  • This leaves John short $69,501 ($293,047 – $223,546) for the nest egg he needs to fill his retirement income gap of $16,931 after tax per year (in today’s dollars) for 17 years after age 65.
  • This shortfall suggests that John may need to increase his employee KiwiSaver contribution rate from 2%
  • If John increased his employee contribution rate to 4% of his gross salary or wages per annum, the calculator shows he would have $308, 410 ($187,986 in today’s dollars), which would be enough to fill his retirement income gap with some change to spare

    Link: Sorted Quick KiwiSaver Calculator

Case study 2: A single woman

  • Jane as a single woman needs to save $330,704 (including 2% annual inflation) by age 65 (the equivalent of $253,104 in today’s dollars)
  • At a 2% employee KiwiSaver contribution rate,
  • Jane would have saved $223,546 (including 2% annual inflation) over the 25 years from age 40 to age 65 ($136,258 in today’s dollars)
  • This leaves Jane short $107,158 ($330,704 – $223,546) for the nest egg she needs to fill her retirement income gap of $16,931 after tax per year (in today’s dollars) for 20 years after age 65.
  • This shortfall suggests that Jane needs to increase her employee KiwiSaver contribution rate from 2%
  • If Jane increased her employee contribution rate to 4% of her gross salary or wages per annum, the calculator shows she would have $308, 410 ($187,986 in today’s dollars), which would still not be enough to fill her retirement income gap
  • If Jane increased her employee contribution rate to 8% of her gross salary or wages per annum, the calculator shows she would have $478,138 ($291,440 in today’s dollars), which would be more than ample to fill her retirement income gap

    Link: Sorted Quick Kiwisaver Calculator

Case study 3: A couple

  • John and Jane as a couple need to save $167,511 (including 2% annual inflation) by age 65 (the equivalent of $127,879 in today’s dollars)
    At a 2% employee KiwiSaver contribution rate,
  • John or Jane would have saved $223,546 (including 2% annual inflation) over the 25 years from age 40 to age 65 ($136,258 in today’s dollars)
  • The couple do not have a nest egg shortfall to fill their retirement income gap of $9,446 after tax per year, and indeed come out with a surplus of $56,035 ($223,546 – $167,511) at a 2% contribution rate

    Link: Sorted Quick KiwiSaver Calculator

General conclusions

In general, it is cheaper per person to live as a couple in retirement than to live singly.  Because of longer average life expectancies, women need to have more saved than men to achieve the equivalent amount of desired annual retirement income.

The calculations made using the Sorted calculators and the case studies are for demonstration purposes only, and should not be used to base actual retirement savings decisions on.  It is recommended that professional financial advice should be sought to match your savings rates and targets with your personal needs and objectives.

TOWER’s financial advisers can be located at this link.

For a copy of the TOWER KiwiSaver Scheme investment statement click here.